Page 17 - European Energy Innovation - winter 2017 publication

Winter 2017 European Energy Innovation 17
HERON – Decision Support Tool
HERON – DST, developed by KEPA in cooperation with
App-Art, is a user-friendly software, based on an innovative
methodology, minimizing the negative impact of end-
users’ behavior in Energy Efficiency (EE) policy-making and
leading to the optimum combination of EE technologies and
practices.
PROBLEM
Overcome deviations in EE targets, created by behavioral
barriers demonstrated by end users.
CONCEPT
Quantify qualitative data concerning end-user’s behavior in
forms capable to be incorporated into EE modeling input
drivers.
METHODOLOGY AND SOFTWARE
The developed innovative methodology, based on Analytical
Hierarchy Process (AHP), led to the HERON – DST (Mavrakis
D., Konidari P., 2017)1 which: i) allows the calculation of the
negative impact of barriers (Impact factor), ii) incorporates
these Impact factors in forward looking EE scenarios, iii)
calculates the occurring deviation against targets due to
these barriers and iv) provides combinations of technologies
and practices, allowing the optimization of scenario’s inputs.
Barriers are mapped, merged and grouped into three main
categories: i) Social-Cultural-Educational, ii) Economic and
iii) Institutional. Afterwards, barriers are compared pair-wised • Calculation and optimization of occurring deviations;
and the importance of one barrier over the other is assessed
using a 1-9 scale. After the completion of all comparisons,
the Impact factor for each one of the identified barriers is
calculated.
The Impact factor is a numerical outcome, expressing
the contribution of the concerned barrier in preventing
the achievement of EE targets. The total impact of the
assumed barriers on a certain input is expressed by the
Total Impact Factor which is also calculated. Consequently,
EE technologies and practices are linked with the relevant
barriers through their Total Impact factors that are provided by
HERON – DST. Occurring deviations are calculated. Options
for reducing deviations through the optimum combination of
1. Mavrakis Dimitrios, Konidari Popi, 2017. A methodology to insert end-users behavior in energy efficiency scenario modelling. Euro-Asian Journal of
Sustainable Energy Development Policy, Volume 5, Number 2, pp. 59-83. At: http://www.promitheasnet.kepa.uoa.gr/images/journal_articles/Volume_5.2/
July_December_2017_september_ONLINE_MAVRAKIS.pdf
Material:
Manual: https://heron2017.wordpress.com/manual/
Case studies: https://heron2017.wordpress.com/implementation/
Free disposal of HERON DST– ask here: https://heron2017.wordpress.com/heron-dst/
www.europeanenergyinnovation.eu
COMMUNICATION
EE technologies and practices and the minimization of the
impact factors leads to optimized outcomes. Outcomes are
available to be used as inputs to EE modelling.
The methodology has six steps:
Step 1: Mapping, categorization and merging of behavioral
barriers;
Step 2: Development of the AHP tree and matrices;
Step 3: Calculation of weight coefficients;
Step 4: Definition and calculation of Impact Factors of
barriers;
Step 5: Linkage of Impact factors with input drivers;
Step 6: Incorporation of the Total Impact factors in the
forward-looking EE modelling.
MAIN CHARACTERISTICS
• Working fields: Buildings and transport sectors (Two sets
of barriers);
• Options to: i) add or modify barriers and technologies; ii)
add countries; iii) add sectors.
• Incorporation of end-user’s behavioral barriers as inputs
for EE modelling;
• Outcomes provided in Excel file. l
Consortium members:
NATIONAL AND KAPODISTRIAN UNIVERSITY
OF ATHENS – Energy Policy and Development
Centre (KEPA), Hellas UNIVERSITA COMMERCIALE
‘LUIGI BOCCONI’ – Istituto di Economia e Politica
dell’Energia e dell’Ambiente (IEFE), Italy SDRUZHENIE
CHERNOMORSKI IZSLEDOVATELSKI ENERGIEN
TSENTAR - Black Sea Energy Research Centre (BSREC),
Bulgaria OXFORD BROOKES UNIVERSITY - Low Carbon
Building Group (LCB), United Kingdom WUPPERTAL
INSTITUTE FOR CLIMATE, ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY
- Energy, Transport and Climate Policy group (WI),
Germany UNIVERSITY OF BELGRADE - Faculty of Mining
and Geology (UB-FMG), Serbia ESTONIAN INSTITUTE
FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT - STOCKHOLM
ENVIRONMENT INSTITUTE TALLINN CENTRE (SEI-T),
Estonia