Page 73 - European Energy Innovation - summer 2018 publication

Summer 2018 European Energy Innovation 73
HERON – Decision Support Tool
HERON – DST, developed by KEPA in cooperation with
App-Art, is a user-friendly software, based on an innovative
methodology, minimizing the negative impact of end-
users’ behavior in Energy Efficiency (EE) policy-making and
leading to the optimum combination of EE technologies
and practices.
PROBLEM
Overcome deviations in EE targets, created by behavioral
barriers demonstrated by end users.
CONCEPT
Quantify qualitative data concerning end-user’s behavior in
forms capable to be incorporated into EE modeling input
drivers.
METHODOLOGY AND SOFTWARE
The developed innovative methodology, based on Analytical
Hierarchy Process (AHP), led to the HERON – DST (Mavrakis
D., Konidari P., 2017)1 which: i) allows the calculation of the
negative impact of barriers (Impact factor), ii) incorporates
these Impact factors in forward looking EE scenarios,
iii) calculates the occurring deviation against targets
due to these barriers and iv) provides combinations of
technologies and practices, allowing the optimization of
scenario’s inputs.
Barriers are mapped, merged and grouped into three main
categories: i) Social-Cultural-Educational, ii) Economic
and iii) Institutional. Afterwards, barriers are compared
pair-wised and the importance of one barrier over the
other is assessed using a 1-9 scale. After the completion
of all comparisons, the Impact factor for each one of the
identified barriers is calculated.
The Impact factor is a numerical outcome, expressing
the contribution of the concerned barrier in preventing
the achievement of EE targets. The total impact of the
assumed barriers on a certain input is expressed by the
Total Impact Factor which is also calculated. Consequently,
EE technologies and practices are linked with the relevant
barriers through their Total Impact factors that are provided
by HERON – DST. Occurring deviations are calculated. Options
1. Mavrakis Dimitrios, Konidari Popi, 2017. A methodology to insert end-users behavior in energy efficiency scenario modelling. Euro-Asian Journal of
Sustainable Energy Development Policy, Volume 5, Number 2, pp. 59-83. At: http://www.promitheasnet.kepa.uoa.gr/images/journal_articles/Volume_5.2/
July_December_2017_september_ONLINE_MAVRAKIS.pdf
Material:
Manual: https://heron2017.wordpress.com/manual/
Case studies: https://heron2017.wordpress.com/implementation/
Free disposal of HERON DST– ask here: https://heron2017.wordpress.com/heron-dst/
www.europeanenergyinnovation.eu
COMMUNICATION
for reducing deviations through the optimum combination
of EE technologies and practices and the minimization of
the impact factors leads to optimized outcomes. Outcomes
are available to be used as inputs to EE modelling.
The methodology has six steps:
Step 1: Mapping, categorization and merging of behavioral
barriers;
Step 2: Development of the AHP tree and matrices;
Step 3: Calculation of weight coefficients;
Step 4: Definition and calculation of Impact Factors of barriers;
Step 5: Linkage of Impact factors with input drivers;
Step 6: Incorporation of the Total Impact factors in the
forward-looking EE modelling.
MAIN CHARACTERISTICS
• Working fields: Buildings and transport sectors (Two sets
of barriers);
• Options to: i) add or modify barriers and technologies; ii)
add countries; iii) add sectors.
• Incorporation of end-user’s behavioral barriers as inputs
for EE modelling;
• Calculation and optimization of occurring deviations;
• Outcomes provided in Excel file. l
Consortium members:
NATIONAL AND KAPODISTRIAN UNIVERSITY OF ATHENS
– Energy Policy and Development Centre (KEPA), Hellas
UNIVERSITA COMMERCIALE ‘LUIGI BOCCONI’ – Istituto
di Economia e Politica dell’Energia e dell’Ambiente
(IEFE), Italy SDRUZHENIE CHERNOMORSKI
IZSLEDOVATELSKI ENERGIEN TSENTAR - Black Sea
Energy Research Centre (BSREC), Bulgaria OXFORD
BROOKES UNIVERSITY - Low Carbon Building Group
(LCB), United Kingdom WUPPERTAL INSTITUTE FOR
CLIMATE, ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY - Energy,
Transport and Climate Policy group (WI), Germany
UNIVERSITY OF BELGRADE - Faculty of Mining and
Geology (UB-FMG), Serbia ESTONIAN INSTITUTE
FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT - STOCKHOLM
ENVIRONMENT INSTITUTE TALLINN CENTRE (SEI-T),
Estonia