Page 71 - European Energy Innovation - summer 2018 publication
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Summer 2018 European Energy Innovation         71

                                                     AVIATION EMISSIONS

risks rewarding biofuels which have a    costs - far too low to ever incentivise
devastating effect on land, water and    new aircraft or new fuels.
worker rights.
                                         So what might work? ICAO talks
The most worrying policy being           about a basket-of-measures but its
pursued by ICAO is its global            combination of weak CO2 standards,
offsetting mechanism, known as the       damaging alternative fuels, ineffective
Carbon Offsetting and Reduction          CORSIA and no discussion of
Scheme for International Aviation        demand management won’t do
(CORSIA). This scheme proposes that,     the job. Europe needs to recognise
from 2021 onwards, airlines flying       this and, in reviewing its long-term
certain routes will be required to       decarbonisation strategy, set out a far
purchase offsets for a portion of the    more ambitious and effective range
emissions of that flight. Offsetting is  of policies which complement the
the idea that instead of reducing your   minimum effort coming out of ICAO.
own emissions, you pay someone
else to reduce theirs.                   The centrepiece of this must be          A more promising avenue might be
                                         retaining EU ETS. That system now        electro-fuels such as power-to-
As neat as the idea may be in theory,    has two important features: a rising     liquid. These can be produced using
it has failed to work in practice. It’s  price of credits and reforms adopted     renewable electricity, and unlike
simply too difficult to tell whether     last year introduced a declining cap     alternative aircraft designs, they are
those emission reductions actually       on aviation allowances. This means       technology ready. Barriers still exist
occurred, or whether they would have     that the aviation sector will have       – they require enormous amounts
occurred without the payment. One        to decarbonise by 2066 – close to        of renewable energy and there is an
study, looking at offsets purchased as   what Paris requires, and a world         issue over where to source the CO2
part of the EU’s climate goals, found    first. Europe should be proud of this    required to manufacture it - but with
that 85% of projects used could not      policy, and not allow an alliance of     the right safeguards, it is a technology
be proven to have delivered emission     regressive states and industry to        worth pursuing for sectors which
reductions.                              undermine it.                            are difficult to decarbonise such as
                                                                                  aviation.
The Paris Agreement casts even more      However, EU ETS alone won’t be
doubt on the future of offsetting.       enough. What’s need alongside this       Paris requires immediate and
Unlike its predecessor the Kyoto         more effective pricing mechanism         substantial emission reductions
Protocol, which asked only developed     is the technologies which can            across all sector. The UN’s
countries to cut emissions, the          decarbonise the sector. Radical new      cumbersome aviation agency
Paris Agreement demands that all         aircraft designs, including battery-     is unlikely to deliver this for the
countries set emission reduction         electric, aren’t a good bet. Even        aviation sector. That’s why Europe,
targets, with the ultimate aim of        under the most optimistic scenario,      in establishing its new long-term
decarbonising the global economy by      they will take several decades to be     decarbonisation strategy to reflect
the second half of this century. But     developed and in the interim, Boeing     the Paris Agreement, must outline
if every state and sector is already     and Airbus are producing ‘traditional’   what role it will play in ensuring the
required to cut its emissions, what      jet engines which require liquid fuel.   aviation sector is put on a path to
role is there for offset payments?       These aircraft will stay for decades     zero emissions. l
                                         in operation, and unless we find
And while CORSIA likely won’t            something other than kerosene to
deliver any emission reductions in       fuel them with, we will break the
other sectors, it also won’t deliver     Paris goals.
emission reductions in the aviation
sector itself. That’s because the        Contact information
global offsetting market is so flooded
with bad credits that the price has      Andrew Murphy
collapsed to under €1 a tonne. One       Aviation Manager
study, by the International Council      Email: andrew.murphy@transportenvironment.org
on Clean Transportation, has found       www.transportenvironment.org
that by 2035 the cost of CORSIA may
equal perhaps 2.5% of an airlines fuel

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