Page 18 - European Energy Innovation - autumn 2018 publication

18 Autumn 2018 European Energy Innovation

ROOFTOP PV

Figure 3: European electricity production until 2030 to meet the 32% RES target (extrapolation based on the
impact assessment of the 2016 Market Design Directive proposal[5]).

1800

1600 n Solar
1400 n Wind
1200 n Tide, Wave Ocean
1000 n Biomass
n Geothermal
n Hydro

TWh

800

600

400

200

0 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
2010

performed a study exploiting data During the recast of the Renewable 1,250TWh to be generated from solar
from the Global Human Settlement Energy Directive (2009/28/EC), a and wind power (Figure 3). Of this
Layer (GHSL) initiative. With this it is political agreement on increasing roughly 400 TWh would come from
possible to estimate available rooftop renewable energy use in Europe solar power, about 20TWh Solar
area in blocks of 10 m X 10 m across was reached between negotiators Thermal Power Generation and 380
the entire EU in both urban and rural from the Commission, the European TWh PV, which would require close to
areas. Calculations on NUTS2 level Parliament and the Council on 350GW PV capacity to be installed by
show that if the suitable rooftop area 14 June 2018. The agreement sets 2030, about three times the capacity
is used for PV generation this could a new, binding, renewable energy of 2018.
result in more than 680 and up to target for the EU for 2030 of 32%,
1,500TWh of electricity generation including a review clause by 2023 for However, with a total installed
depending on different assumptions an upward revision of the EU level capacity of about 115GW at the end
of other competing rooftop uses[11,12] target[13]. of 2018 and annual installations
(Figure 1). This would require about between 5.1 and 7.5GW in the last four
600 to 1,200GW of installed PV power As a consequence, renewable years (Figure 4), it will be difficult to
compared to the roughly 115GW to electricity would have to contribute reach this target[5]. New policies are
be reached at the end of 2018 roughly 65% of the final energy needed to enable a three times larger
(Figure 2)[5]. demand with around 1,200 to annual market over the next 13 years,

To deliver the Paris Agreement, PV
power capacity in the EU has to triple
until 2030.

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